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US Retail Sales Rise 0.5 Percent in April, Match Consensus
US Retail Sales increased by 0.5% month-over-month in April 2026, matching the consensus estimate of 0.5%. This marks a slowdown from March’s 1.6% gain, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points. Despite the deceleration, April’s reading remains above the 12-month rolling average of 1.00%. Non-store retailers and motor vehicles led the growth in April, contributing significantly to the overall increase. Compared to the same period last year, US retail sales continue to demonstrate resilient consumer demand amid ongoing inflationary pressures. Investors are monitoring upcoming Federal Reserve communications and additional economic data releases for further direction. Updated 5/14/26
THE MARKET
FORECAST ENGINE
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
LIVE SIGNALS
7-Day Forecast · May 23, 2026LIVE
EUR/USD→ FLAT1.1396–1.1831
BTC/USD▲ BULL75256.43–82811.58
AAPL▲ BULL298.17–318.72
XAU/USD▼ BEAR4528.11–4537.73
Market Forecasts
1,456+
instruments tracked
1M+
forecasts scored
83%
zone accuracy
5
asset classes
Economic Data
4,151
economic indicators
127
countries covered
6
data sources
FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP
Today's Forecasts
Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
7-DAY FORECASTLIVEMay 16, 2026 – May 23, 2026
Last updated: May 16, 2026 06:03 AM UTCView All 1,456 →
EUR/USD→ SIDEWAYS
1.1625
7-Day Zone
1.13961.1831
Target
1.1613
Invalidation
1.1287
R:R
0.0:1
Contains price ~83% of the time
BTC/USD▲ BULLISH
78170.24
7-Day Zone
75256.4382811.58
Target
82811.58
Invalidation
71478.85
R:R
0.7:1
Contains price ~74% of the time
AAPL▲ BULLISH
300.22
7-Day Zone
298.17318.72
Target
318.72
Invalidation
287.89
R:R
1.5:1
Contains price ~96% of the time
XAU/USD▼ BEARISH
4537.83
7-Day Zone
4528.114537.73
Target
4528.11
Invalidation
4542.53
R:R
2.1:1
